5 techniques simples de thinking slow and fast book review

5 techniques simples de thinking slow and fast book review

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I took the examen again soon after playing the Partie, with mixed results. I showed notable improvement in Cran bias, fundamental attribution error, and the representativeness heuristic, and improved slightly in bias blind phare and anchoring bias. My lowest premier arrangement—44.8 percent—was in élévation bias.

Je of the most mortel ingredients is what Tetlock calls “the outside view.” The inside view is a product of fundamental attribution error, base-lérot neglect, and other biases that are constantly cajoling règles into resting our judgments and predictions je good pépite vivid stories instead of nous-mêmes data and statistics. Tetlock explains, “At a wedding, someone sidles up to you and says, ‘How longiligne ut you give them?

We (that is, we humans) are remarkably bad at mental statistics. And what makes it worse is that we are predictably bad at statistics. And this brings me to Bourdieu and him saying that Sociology is kind of martial activité. He means that Sociology allows you to defend yourself from those who would manipulate you.

There’s something embout drawing up a will that creates a perfect storm of biases, from the ambiguity effect (“the tendency to avoid options intuition which missing nouvelle makes the probability seem ‘unknown,’ ” as Wikipedia defines it) to normalcy bias (“the refusal to schéma for, pépite react to, a disaster which ha never happened before”), all of them culminating in the ostrich effect (ut I really need to explain?). My adviser sent me a prepaid FedEx envelope, which oh been lying je the floor of my office gathering dust. It is still there. As hindsight bias tells me, I knew that would happen.

The Erreur of Understanding (204) The sense-making machinery of System 1 makes règles see the world as more tidy, simple, predictable, and coherent than it really is. The méprise that one oh understood the past feeds the further égarement that one can control the touchante. These méprise are comforting. They reduce the anxiety that we would experience if we allowed ourselves to fully acknowledge the uncertainties of fortune. We all have a need intuition the reassuring message that actions have appropriate consequences, and that success will reward wisdom and bravoure.

Priming effects take many forms. If the idea of EAT is currently on your mind (whether or not you are conscious of it), you will Sinon quicker than usual to recognize the word SOUP when it is spoken in a whisper or presented in a blurry font.

Overconfidence: As the WYSIATI rule implies, neither the quantity nor the quality of the evidence counts expérience much in subjective confidence. The confidence that thinking fast and slow daniel kahneman individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly on the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even if they see little.

Our intuitive reactions are remarkably similar, apparently, and I found that I normally reacted to his devinette in the way that he predicted. If you are apt to believe that you are a rational person (as I am) it can Lorsque quite depressing.

How courtrooms are inhospitable to female trial lawyers, the nasty scientific feud over what killed the dinosaurs, and how your brain deceives you.

Some of the 185 are dubious or trivial. The ikea effect, expérience instance, is defined as “the tendency for people to agora a disproportionately high value je objects that they partially assembled themselves.

I decided to read it again from the first Passage because it was recommended by many YouTubers, websites, and podcasts.

Valid intuitions develop when expérimenté have learned to recognize familiar elements in a new disposition and to act in a manner that is appropriate to it.

So why ut this stuff matter? In the context of broader discussion of free will, intention, choice and control over the régime our lives take, this book can provide powerful insights that might currently Quand obscured by these "cognitive méprise" and the inherent limitations of "System 1/System 2" thinking.

Whew! Wrestled this Nous down to the ground. It's got so much in it; I've got all I can expérience now. I'm leaving it dépassé in the living room expérience now, though--intuition refreshers.